Neutral·VIX 22.4·SPY +0.3%·QQQ +0.5%
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For educational and informational purposes only. Historical signal research based on 21 years of data. Not investment advice. Do your own research.

Apple Cider

Seasonal Momentum Dip

Sep/Oct entry into the year's strongest stocks. 63-day hold through Q4 rally.

Win Rate69.2%
Avg Return5.11%
Hold63d
WindowAug–Oct
outside window
Seasonal · Outside Active Window

Apple Cider generates new signals August through October

The seasonal entry window opens in August when the year's strongest momentum stocks typically experience their final dip before the Q4 rally. Positions formed in August and September close in October and November. October formations close in December or early January.

AC window opens in 122 days

How Apple Cider Works

Apple Cider captures a seasonal pattern in the stock market's strongest momentum stocks. Historically, August through October marks the period when year-to-date winners experience their most significant pullbacks — often driven by tax-loss harvesting, portfolio rebalancing, and seasonal selling pressure. The setup requires the stock to have strong year-to-date momentum (so it's a genuine quality holding, not a failing stock), to be above its 200-day moving average (uptrend intact), and to be at or below the lower Bollinger Band (confirming the pullback is statistically significant).

Positions from August–September entries typically close in October–November. October entries close in December or early January, capturing the historically strong year-end rally effect.